{"id":356052,"date":"2023-08-13T10:26:14","date_gmt":"2023-08-13T02:26:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.mingtiandi.com\/?p=356052"},"modified":"2023-08-13T14:46:40","modified_gmt":"2023-08-13T06:46:40","slug":"chinas-country-garden-warns-of-7-7b-loss-as-sales-slide","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.mingtiandi.com\/real-estate\/chinas-country-garden-warns-of-77b-loss-as-sales-slide\/","title":{"rendered":"China\u2019s Country Garden Warns of $7.7B Loss as Sales Slide"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_347628\" style=\"width: 790px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-347628\" class=\"wp-image-347628 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.mingtiandi.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/GettyImages-1236267336-e1691908312833.jpg\" alt=\"Country Garden project\" width=\"780\" height=\"520\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-347628\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Skies aren&#8217;t looks so blue for Country Garden recently (Getty Images)<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Country Garden Holdings, China\u2019s largest developer by sales in 2022, warned late Thursday that it expects to report a loss of RMB 45 billion to RMB 55 billion ($6.26 billion to $7.65 billion) for the first six months of the year following a decline in sales.<\/p>\n<p>The loss is a turnaround from the RMB 1.91 billion net profit it reported for the same period last year, with the company pinning the blame on \u201cmultiple unfavorable factors\u201d in the industry which affected its operating environment. The profit warning came just two days after the company <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mingtiandi.com\/real-estate\/finance\/country-garden-misses-bond-payments-amid-cash-crunch\/\">failed to pay $22.5 million<\/a> in interest due on two sets of US dollar bonds.<\/p>\n<p>Country Garden had already warned in a <a href=\"https:\/\/www1.hkexnews.hk\/listedco\/listconews\/sehk\/2023\/0731\/2023073100059.pdf\">stock exchange filing<\/a> on July 31 that it would suffer a loss for the first half of the year, without providing precise estimates.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a data-no-instant=\"1\" href=\"https:\/\/www.jll.com.hk\/en\/invest-in-real-estate?utm_source=mtd&#038;utm_medium=ol&#038;utm_campaign=ap-hk-cm-investor-platform-q323&#038;utm_content=set-h&#038;utm_term=780x250\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"adv-link\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"H-780X250\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.mingtiandi.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/H-780X250.gif\" alt=\"\"  width=\"780\" height=\"250\"   \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe expected net loss was mainly due to the decrease in gross profit margin of the real estate business and the increase in impairment of property projects as a result of the decline in sales in the real estate industry, as well as the expected foreign exchange loss resulted from foreign exchange fluctuations,\u201d the company said in a <a href=\"https:\/\/www1.hkexnews.hk\/listedco\/listconews\/sehk\/2023\/0810\/2023081001200.pdf\">stock exchange filing<\/a> on Thursday.<\/p>\n<p>Following the announcement, Country Garden shares dropped by another 5.77 percent on Friday to HK$0.98 (US$0.13) from its HK$1.04 close on Thursday. Analysts with Morningstar cut their fair value estimate for the company\u2019s shares to <a href=\"https:\/\/asiaapi.morningstar.com\/ods_images\/CG_StockAnalystNote_20230810.pdf\">HK$1.20 from HK$2.80<\/a>, citing concerns over the company\u2019s potential for default.<\/p>\n<h3>Credit Downgraded<\/h3>\n<p>Even before the profit warning, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.moodys.com\/research\/Moodys-downgrades-Country-Garden-to-Caa1Caa2-outlook-negative-Rating-Action--PR_479399?cy=centraleur&amp;lang=en\">Moody&#8217;s Investors Service on Thursday downgraded the company<\/a>\u2019s corporate family rating (CFR) to Caa1 from B1 and revised its senior unsecured rating to Caa2 from B1.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_340394\" style=\"width: 790px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-340394\" class=\"wp-image-340394 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.mingtiandi.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Yang-Huiyan-Country-Garden-1.jpg\" alt=\"Yang Huiyan Country Garden\" width=\"780\" height=\"497\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.mingtiandi.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Yang-Huiyan-Country-Garden-1.jpg 780w, https:\/\/www.mingtiandi.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Yang-Huiyan-Country-Garden-1-400x255.jpg 400w, https:\/\/www.mingtiandi.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Yang-Huiyan-Country-Garden-1-640x408.jpg 640w, https:\/\/www.mingtiandi.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Yang-Huiyan-Country-Garden-1-420x268.jpg 420w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 780px) 100vw, 780px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-340394\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Yang Huiyan will lead a task force tackling the company&#8217;s crisis (Source: Country Garden Weibo)<\/p><\/div>\n<p>\u201cThe downgrade reflects Country Garden\u2019s heightened liquidity and refinancing risks in view of its deteriorated liquidity and financial flexibility, sizable refinancing needs and still-constrained access to funding,\u201d Moody\u2019s senior vice president Kaven Tsang said in a statement.<\/p>\n<p>Moody\u2019s also gave Country Garden a negative outlook due to uncertainty surrounding its ability to meet its obligations in the next six to 12 months. The credit rating agency said a rating upgrade could be possible if the company improves its sales, although it forecast that the company\u2019s sales will decline to around RMB 180 billion for the full year 2023 from RMB 210 billion in the previous 12 months.<\/p>\n<p>From January to July this year, China\u2019s largest developer already saw a 35 percent decline in its contracted sales attributable to shareholders to RMB 140.8 billion.<\/p>\n<h3>Task Force Solution<\/h3>\n<p>Country Garden said it has set up a special task force to be led by chair Yang Huiyan, and has also created an \u201coperation mechanism for coordination and efficient decision-making\u201d to help deal with the crisis.<\/p>\n<p>The company pointed out that it has already taken steps to ensure liquidity \u2014 including securing and injecting more cash into its operations and minimizing its expenditures. Country Garden said it also received support from its chairman, who had contributed HK$38.6 billion through loans and share purchases, along with other contributions. Country Garden said its employees \u2014 \u201cwith senior management taking the lead\u201d \u2014 also took a pay cut to reduce costs, without providing further details.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a data-no-instant=\"1\" href=\"https:\/\/www.mingtiandi.com\/real-estate\/events\/oxford-ivanhoe-kic-savills-on-singapore-india-markets\/\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"adv-link\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"14 NOVEMBER 2023 conrad centennial Singapore\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.mingtiandi.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/14-NOVEMBER-2023-conrad-centennial-Singapore.jpg\" alt=\"\"  srcset=\"https:\/\/www.mingtiandi.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/14-NOVEMBER-2023-conrad-centennial-Singapore.jpg 780w, https:\/\/www.mingtiandi.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/14-NOVEMBER-2023-conrad-centennial-Singapore-400x128.jpg 400w, https:\/\/www.mingtiandi.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/14-NOVEMBER-2023-conrad-centennial-Singapore-640x205.jpg 640w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 780px) 100vw, 780px\" width=\"780\" height=\"250\"   \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>However, the company\u2019s limited opportunities for external fund were underlined on 1 August when Country Garden abruptly cancelled a planned HK$2.34 billion share placement.<\/p>\n<p>Despite the potential RMB 55 billion loss, the company said it will \u201cspare no effort\u201d to ensure timely delivery of its projects nationwide.<\/p>\n<h3>Default and Destiny<\/h3>\n<p>While Country Garden aimed to sooth investor fears on Friday and promised to deliver better sales, <a href=\"https:\/\/asiaapi.morningstar.com\/ods_images\/CG_StockAnalystNote_20230810.pdf\">Morningstar Equity Analyst Jeff Zhang<\/a> in a note said that current market conditions are not working in the company\u2019s favor.<\/p>\n<p>While China\u2019s housing market started the year on an upswing, home sales by the country\u2019s top 100 developers fell 28.1 percent in June from a year earlier, according to data from China Real Estate Information Corp.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a data-no-instant=\"1\" href=\"https:\/\/www.mipim-asia.com\/?utm_source=mingtiandi&#038;utm_medium=barter_website&#038;utm_campaign=mipimasia2023\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"adv-link\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"AR-607487_Mipim Asia_23_Banner Resize 780&#215;250\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.mingtiandi.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/AR-607487_Mipim-Asia_23_Banner-Resize-780x250-1.jpg\" alt=\"\"  srcset=\"https:\/\/www.mingtiandi.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/AR-607487_Mipim-Asia_23_Banner-Resize-780x250-1.jpg 780w, https:\/\/www.mingtiandi.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/AR-607487_Mipim-Asia_23_Banner-Resize-780x250-1-400x128.jpg 400w, https:\/\/www.mingtiandi.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/AR-607487_Mipim-Asia_23_Banner-Resize-780x250-1-640x205.jpg 640w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 780px) 100vw, 780px\" width=\"780\" height=\"250\"   \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Morningstar sees Country Garden\u2019s focus on China\u2019s smaller markets working against it as recovery is expected to be led by the country\u2019s largest hubs. \u201c[Country Garden] remains heavily exposed to projects in lower-tier cities, which we do not believe will see a material sales improvement due to exposed homebuying sentiment,\u201d Zhang said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhile the firm has not massively acquired land parcels in the first half, we forecast that most of its existing projects should post lower margins given faltering selling prices and the tempered pace of turnover,\u201d he added.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Country Garden Holdings, China\u2019s largest developer by sales in 2022, warned late Thursday that it expects to report a loss of RMB 45 billion to RMB 55 billion ($6.26 billion to $7.65 billion) for the first six months of the&#8230;&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.mingtiandi.com\/real-estate\/chinas-country-garden-warns-of-77b-loss-as-sales-slide\/\">Read&nbsp;More>><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17686,"featured_media":340394,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[3391],"tags":[4,818,5382,4375,6350],"ppma_author":[9226],"authors":[{"term_id":9226,"user_id":17686,"is_guest":0,"slug":"kaycee-valmonte","display_name":"Kaycee Valmonte","avatar_url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/103eee51532ece952bd412be0b767b45?s=96&d=mm&r=g","user_url":"","last_name":"Valmonte","first_name":"Kaycee","description":""}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mingtiandi.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/356052"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mingtiandi.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mingtiandi.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mingtiandi.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/17686"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mingtiandi.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=356052"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.mingtiandi.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/356052\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mingtiandi.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/340394"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mingtiandi.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=356052"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mingtiandi.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=356052"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mingtiandi.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=356052"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mingtiandi.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ppma_author?post=356052"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}